Perception

by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

2024 Datassential 500: Guest Perception

2024 Datassential 500: Guest Perception

by David Klemt

An optical illusion consisting of black and white stripes that may be curving upward and outward

Last week we took a look at the data-driven findings that identify, organize, and rank chain restaurants in the US, forming the Datassential 500.

This annual report sorts the 500 top-performing chains by segment. Further, Datassential identifies the top chains by both number of units, and sales.

In doing so, the F&B intelligence agency uses hard numbers to determine numbers one through 500.

But what about guest perception? Unit and sales growth may appeal to board members, investors, executives, and other hospitality professionals, but what matters to the people their restaurants serve?

It’s doubtful that even the staunchest fans of a particular restaurant chain are aware of or, frankly, care about how many locations they operate. Nor are they likely all that concerned about their annual revenue, unless they’re an investor as well.

To get to the bottom of how the public perceives chain restaurants in the US, and what brands they rank at the top, Datassential looked at six key metrics.

Those metrics? Food quality, service, experience, affordability, value for dollar, and net promoter score.

While the results aren’t exactly shocking, they’re quite telling. A handful of US chains dominate the consumer-facing metrics. And for the most part, they’re not among the top ten of the 2024 Datassential 500.

Anyone interested in reading this year’s report can do so via this link. Alright, let’s check out how the public ranks US chain restaurants.

Perception Matters

To make the comparisons easier, the top 10 US restaurant chains by unit and by sales are below.

Top 10: Total Units

  1. Subway
  2. Starbucks
  3. McDonald’s
  4. Dunkin’
  5. Taco Bell
  6. Domino’s Pizza
  7. Burger King
  8. Pizza Hut
  9. Wendy’s
  10. Dairy Queen

Top 10: Total Sales

  1. McDonald’s
  2. Starbucks
  3. Chick-fil-A
  4. Taco Bell
  5. Wendy’s
  6. Dunkin’
  7. Burger King
  8. Chipotle
  9. Subway
  10. Domino’s Pizza

Guest Perception

Okay, so those are the top performers in the US, by the numbers. Units were counted, sales were analyzed.

Now, these are the brands that guests feel are at the very top, organized into six categories.

Food Quality

  1. Texas Roadhouse
  2. Chick-fil-A
  3. Longhorn Steakhouse
  4. Cheesecake Factory
  5. Ruth’s Chris Steak House

Service

  1. Chick-fil-A
  2. Texas Roadhouse
  3. Longhorn Steakhouse
  4. Cheesecake Factory
  5. In-N-Out Burger

Experience

  1. Chick-fil-A
  2. Ruth’s Chris Steak House
  3. Texas Roadhouse
  4. Maggiano’s Little Italy
  5. In-N-Out Burger

Affordability

  1. Little Caesars
  2. Freshii
  3. Papa Murphy’s
  4. Cici’s Pizza
  5. Pollo Tropical

Value for Dollar

  1. Papa Murphy’s
  2. Little Caesars
  3. Cici’s Pizza
  4. In-N-Out Burger
  5. Del Taco

Net Promoter Score

To determine this ranking, survey participants were asked “How likely would you be to recommend this chain to friends and family?”

  1. Chick-fil-A
  2. Texas Roadhouse
  3. In-N-Out Burger
  4. Longhorn Steakhouse
  5. Portillo’s Hot Dogs
  6. Cheesecake Factory
  7. The Capital Grille
  8. Ruth’s Chris Steak House
  9. Maggiano’s Little Italy
  10. Topgolf

Subway and McDonald’s may dominate the list in terms of number of units and annual sales, but Chick-fil-A dominates in one key area. Word-of-mouth marketing still matters, undeniably, and, according to Datassential, most consumers perceive Chick-fil-A as the restaurant chain to recommend.

Followed by Texas Roadhouse and In-N-Out Burger, smaller brands are delivering on important operational elements. Consumers at large appear to favor these brands when it comes to stretching their dollars, along with how they perceive the quality of food, the level of service, and the overall dining experience.

Operators interested in scaling their business need to set aside ego and desire, and look at their business objectively. They need to ensure they’re nailing the fundamentals and have the right systems in place first.

Image: BP Miller on Unsplash

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The 2024 Datassential 500

How Does the 2024 Datassential 500 Shake Out?

by David Klemt

Stainless steel address numbers spelling out the number 500

The annual Datassential 500 ranking is a valuable report that identifies industry leaders, the fastest growers, and segment performance.

Further, this yearly report shows the scale of restaurant business in the US. In a word, it’s gargantuan.

Looking at 2023 data, the top 500 chains in the US operated 238,152 units. And those 238,000-plus restaurants generated $417.13 billion in 2023.

For the former, that’s growth of 2.1 percent in comparison to 2022. And for the latter, the top 500 grew by 7.5 percent compared to last year.

Those numbers are from just 500 chains; the report doesn’t take into account other chains or independent operators. When we add all dining and drinking establishments in the US, the industry generated $1.09 trillion in 2023.

Again, the US restaurant business is a colossus.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, limited-service and quick-service restaurants are the top-performing segments by unit within the Datassential 500. In 2023, the LSR segment consisted of 212,469, and unit growth was up by 2.3 percent. The QSR segment reached 170,241, representing unit growth of 1.9 percent.

In fact, every segment but one saw unit growth in 2023. One may assume the segment that slipped was fine dining. That’s usually a safe bet, but the segment actually saw the most growth. It was midscale restaurants that suffered a bit of a blow, shrinking by 0.1 percent.

That means that LSRs, QSRs, full-service restaurants (FSRs), fast casual, casual dining, and fine dining all grew. Further, that growth ranged from 0.3 percent (FSR) to 4.6 percent (fine dining).

There are many more insights, so I encourage anyone interested to download the report for themselves.

Segment Shakedown

Before we jump into the top US chains, let’s take a look at how the categories break down.

Type of Cuisine

  • American: 88
  • Pizza: 70
  • Desserts & Snacks: 69
  • Sandwich: 47
  • Coffee: 47
  • Burger: 37
  • Mexican: 36
  • Salad & Healthy: 31
  • Southern: 24
  • Asian: 22
  • BBQ: 12
  • Steakhouse: 11
  • Italian: 9
  • Seafood: 9
  • Greek & Mediterranean: 9

Growth by Segment: Unit (LSR)

  • Salad/Healthy: +11.2%
  • Coffee: +5.9%
  • Other: +4.6%
  • Dessert/Snack: +4.3%
  • Mexican: +3.0%
  • Chicken: +2.9%
  • Pizza: +1.6%
  • Bakery-Cafe: +0.8%
  • Sandwich: -0.4%
  • Burger: -0.4%

As we can see, Salad/Healthy LSRs saw almost double the growth by unit than the next-largest segment, Coffee.

Further, Sandwich and Burger shrunk slightly.

Growth by Segment: Unit (FSR)

  • Regional/Ethnic: +7.6%
  • Sports Bar: +3.8%
  • Midscale: +0.3%
  • Seafood/Steak: +0.1%
  • Italian/Pizza: -0.9%
  • American: -2.0%

Regional and ethnic full-size restaurants saw the most growth. In fact, they grew by twice the amount of sports bars, and several times more than midscale FSRs.

Growth by Segment: Sales

  • Limited-Service Restaurant: $338.18 billion (+8.1%)
  • Quick-Service Restaurant: $263.48 billion (+8.0%)
  • Full-Service Restaurant: $78.95 billion (+5.0%)
  • Fast-Casual Restaurant: $74.70 billion (+8.6%)
  • Casual-Dining Restaurant: $55.57 billion (+4.8%)
  • Midscale Restaurant: $20.05 billion (+4.5%)
  • Fine-Dining Restaurant: $3.33 billion (+10.7%)

The good news is that every segment saw sales growth in 2022, with Fine Dining and Fast Casual experiencing the biggest increases.

Of course, that’s relative. Fine Dining generated just $3.33 billion in comparison to LSRs, which generated more than $338 billion.

Still, positive growth is always great to see.

Growth by Segment: Sales (LSR)

  • Salad/Healthy: +17.0%
  • Chicken: +11.9%
  • Dessert/Snack: +10.1%
  • Coffee: +9.8%
  • Other: +9.3%
  • Mexican: +9.1%
  • Burger: +7.5%
  • Sandwich: +7.2%
  • Bakery-Cafe: +1.8%
  • Pizza: +1.6%

Not only did Salad/Healthy lead the way in LSR unit growth in 2023, it’s the top performer in terms of sales.

Again, the good news is that the Datassential 500 saw LSR sales growth across the board.

Growth by Segment: Sales (FSR)

  • Regional/Ethnic: +10.2%
  • Seafood/Steak: +6.7%
  • Midscale: +5.2%
  • Italian/Pizza: +4.2%
  • American: +3.8%
  • Sports Bar: +3.2%

As far as FSR performance, every segment experienced growth, with Regional/Ethnic leading the charge.

The Top 5(00)

So, which US chains are at the top? Well, an accurate answer depends on segment, number of units, and sales.

Oh, and it also depends on whether we’re talking about which chains Datassential have identified as industry leaders, and which are the fastest growers.

Industry Leaders

According to Datassential, the top five US chains by number of stores are Subway (20,133), Starbucks (16,346), McDonald’s (13,449), Dunkin’ (9,580), and Taco Bell (7,405).

However, that ranking changes a bit when we look at through the lens of sales. In that case, the top five are McDonald’s ($52.91 billion), Starbucks ($29.98 billion), Chick-fil-A ($21.58 billion), Taco Bell ($13.95 billion), and Wendy’s ($12.29 billion).

Those are the industry stalwarts. How do the fastest-growing US chains stack up?

Fastest Growers

Looking at unit growth over the span of one year, the top performers in the US are 7 Brew (+373.7 percent), The Peach Cobbler Factory (+358.3 percent), Hangry Joe’s Hot Chicken (+281.8 percent), KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot (+275.0 percent), and Foxtail Coffee Co (+176.2 percent).

Switching gears to sales growth over a single year, Hangry Joe’s Hot Chicken led the way, growing by more than 500 percent. Hangry Joe’s is followed by The Peach Cobbler Factory (+332.5% percent), Nick The Greek (+304.7 percent), 7 Brew (+267.3 percent), and Pizza King Inc (+264.7 percent).

However, Datassential gets more granular in their 2024 report, breaking down the top five across multiple segments.

Top Ranked By Unit (Overall)

Top 5: Quick Service

  1. Subway
  2. McDonald’s
  3. Dunkin’
  4. Taco Bell
  5. Domino’s Pizza

Top 5: Fast Casual

  1. Starbucks
  2. Chipotle
  3. Panera Bread
  4. Wingstop
  5. Tropical Smoothie Cafe

Top 5: Midscale

  1. Waffle House
  2. IHOP
  3. Denny’s
  4. Cracker Barrel
  5. First Watch

Top 5: Casual & Fine Dining

  1. Applebee’s
  2. Buffalo Wild Wings
  3. Chili’s
  4. Olive Garden
  5. Outback

Top Ranked By Unit (Growth)

Top 5: Quick Service

  1. 7 Brew
  2. The Peach Cobbler Factory
  3. Foxtail Coffee Co
  4. Cupbop
  5. Swig

Top 5: Fast Casual

  1. Hangry Joes Hot Chicken
  2. Just Love Coffee Cafe
  3. The Great Greek Mediterranean Grill
  4. Nautical Bowls
  5. Ellianos Coffee Co

Top 5: Midscale

  1. Snooze Restaurant
  2. Eggs Up Grill
  3. Kura Sushi Bar
  4. Another Broken Egg Cafe
  5. Maple Street Biscuit Co.

Top 5: Casual & Fine Dining

  1. KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot
  2. Topgolf
  3. The Juicy Crab
  4. Jinya Ramen Bar
  5. Hopdoddy Burger Bar

There are many more insights to be had, so please consider downloading your own copy of the 2024 Datassential 500 report here.

Image: Thiago Giardini via Pexels

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Nachogate: A Lesson in Standards

Nachogate: A Lesson in Standards

by David Klemt

People sharing a plate of nachos

You wouldn’t think a social media post about a plate of nachos could cause a scandal but that’s exactly what’s happening, and it’s known as Nachogate.

Shockingly, this story comes to us from a luxury casino resort in Las Vegas.

A photo of a meager dish with six entire tortilla chips on it has 1.3 million views already. That’s pretty impressiveor unfortunate, depending on which side of the post you’re onconsidering the post is from this Monday.

One of the top comments on the post points out that there’s quite the disparity between chips and accompaniments.

“More condiments than chips. Wow,” reads the comment. To which the original poster responds, “They said it was so you can have the perfect bite.”

It should go without saying that every dish put in front of a guest needs to be as close to perfect as possible. If it’s on the menu, if it leaves the kitchen, it impacts the guest experience. There is no, “Well it’s only [insert item]. It’s not that big of a deal.”

That mindset simply has no place in hospitality.

No, not every dish or drink is perfect. Yes, everyone makes mistakes. The absolute lowest standard should be caring enough to catch mistakes before they affect guests.

Failing that, every operator and leadership team member needs to care enough to acknowledge mistakes that reach guests, handle them gracefully, and fix them. This includes listening to and rewarding servers, bartenders, barbacks, and hosts whenever they catch a mistake.

Of course, there’s another lesson here. When developing non-negotiable standards, aim high. Fountainbleau Las Vegas is a luxury lifestyle brand; I doubt Nachogate reflects the company’s standards.

#Nachogate Fallout

Look, it can feel good to say that we don’t have competitors in this industry, we have peers. In some ways that can be an accurate statement.

However, watch what happens when an operator makes a mistake and it blows up in spectacular fashion.

Case in point, Nachogate. Or, given how the situation went viral, #Nachogate.

It would be bad enough if The Tavern at Fountainbleau Las Vegas took a reputational hit solely with the guests it affected directly. Obviously, it gets exponentially worse when it takes off on social media and alters the perception of potential guests.

But #Nachogate got worse when the venue’s “peers” leveraged the situation to their advantage.

That’s just a handful of posts taking advantage of Fountainbleau Las Vegas’ mistake. And that’s a lot of free marketing leveraging an unforced error that transformed into a viral moment.

Resolution

Alright, so I probably haven’t made any friends at Fountainbleau for sharing this story. Well, allow me to extend an olive branch. After all, I’ve made plenty of mistakes and will make more in the future.

It appears that the issue has been addressed by the property. That says to me that there are indeed standards, and there are people who care enough to respond when they’re not met.

Again, mistakes happen. The key is to correct course and move forward. Fountainbleau has done just that.

That’s a smart move. A mistake was made, people piled on, and instead of ignoring the issue, the company acknowledged and corrected the mistake where it blew up: the public eye.

Fountainbleau Las Vegas is just over a month into serving the public. There are going to be growing pains. Indeed, anyone who has been following the casino resort is aware that there have been much larger issues. For example, the company is dealing with the departures of three high-level executives.

The point of this article isn’t to roast Fountainbleau further. Assuming the viral post is true and the nachos at The Tavern have indeed been improved, a mistake was made and was then addressed.

I’m sharing this story as an example to drive home the need for standards, for non-negotiables. That means sitting down, considering every element of operations and service, writing out standards, and training teams on those non-negotiables. It’s as important as identifying values, sharing them with the team, and adhering to them.

Sit down today and develop your standards. If you’ve done that in the past, review your standards, update them if necessary, and ensure they still have buy-in from your team.

Image: Herson Rodriguez on Unsplash

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