Research | KRG Hospitality

September 13, 2022by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

Pumpkin Spice Season Descends Upon Us

Pumpkin Spice Season Descends Upon Us

by David Klemt

Once again, the unstoppable march of the spooky season is upon us, bringing with it a frightening assortment of pumpkin spice items and expectations.

In the blink of an eye, hordes will descend on your restaurant or bar. “Pumpkin spiiiiiice,” they’ll croak.

Okay, so that’s overly dramatic. For the most part, pumpkin spice season is anything but scary. And really, very few people will transform into singularly focused pumpkin spice zombies.

However, fall is nearly here. So, you do need to finalize your fall/autumn menu. Beginning in September, that really does mean considering offering at least one pumpkin spice LTO item.

Interestingly, though, pumpkin spice may not deserve its perception as the flavor of fall. According to Datassential, there are ten flavors that index high enough to give pumpkin spice a challenge for the fall throne.

What are they? Well, it just so happens that Datassential has those answers, along with a bit of useful advice.

Lord of the LTO

Recently, Datassential released “Food Industry Trend Report: 2022 Pumpkin Spice Season.” As the research firm points out, pumpkin spice seems to be encroaching on summer more each year.

How far away are we, I wonder, from pumpkin spice claiming summer for itself? Will we be subjected to pumpkin spice dry rubs at summer barbecues? Is some intrepid operator going to create a pumpkin spice lemonade?

Those terrifying questons aside, pumpkin spice season coming earlier means more opportunities to benefit from LTOs. Just as it seems that pumpkin spice is descending upon us earlier and earlier, it also seems to dominate the LTO space.

In fact, per Datassential research, major chains executed 174 pumpkin spice LTOs. Now, that’s still with a five-percent drop in menuing for pumpkin space over the past 12 months. Further, that number doesn’t include small, regional chains and independents who also launched pumpkin spice LTOs.

Of course, there are also other fall flavors that deserve a place on operators’ menus. And they’re perfectly cromulent as LTO drivers.

Fall Flavor Favorites

To inspire operators to create LTOs that entice consumers this fall, Datassential has identitied ten flavors on which to focus. Helpfully, they separate them into two main categories.

Top five sweet fall flavors:

Vietnamese cinnamon
Spicy ginger
Allspice
Eggnog
Pumpkin pie

Top five savory flavors:

Coconut milk
“Oktoberfest”
Mustard cream
Turkey gravy
Cranberry sauce

Personally, I can see operators and their teams needing to get creative to leverage mustard cream and turkey gravy. Interestingly, Datassential suggests a few flavors not on either list above.

According to their report, Datassential expects apple and blood orange to be popular for LTOs this year. According to the firm, apple was popular last year. When it comes to blood orange, Datassential says 38 percent of consumers like or love the flavor.

Whichever flavors you choose, Datassential has the following advice, which we co-sign: Ensure your LTOs are fresh; make sure they’re easy and quick to make; and don’t discount them. In fact, you should create premium LTOs that come with a premium price.

Image: Colton Sturgeon on Unsplash

August 31, 2022by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

Clever Ranks the Top US Retirement Cities

Clever Ranks the Top US Retirement Cities

by David Klemt

Real estate brokerage Clever, known for transparency and affordability, has identified the top cities for people to retire to in the United States of America.

Over the past few weeks we’ve examined an array of city rankings. For example, last month we took a look at Time Out’s top 53 cities in the world for 2022. Out of those 53 cities, six are in the US and two are in Canada. Both countries have one city in the top ten.

Also in July of this year, we learned from Redfin which US cities are experiencing the greatest outflow and inflow. Spoiler: The top outflow city is San Francisco. Also, the number one inflow city is Miami.

Then this month we checked in on a very specific demographic: “high earners.” For this report, SmartAsset Advisors labeled high-earner households as those earning $200,000 or more per year. If you want to know which states are attracting the most high earners, click here. Conversely, you’ll see which states are seeing the greatest outflow of high earners.

Now, we know the top cities in which Baby Boomers should retire, according to Clever.

Retirement

It’s wise for operators to know everything they can about the markets in which the operate. Is it attracting or losing high earners? Are people clamoring to live in a particular city, driving up home, rental, and other costs?

On the flip side, is a city an operating is running a business in seeing an exodus? Obviously, if a significant number of people are leaving, traffic and revenue can see a negative impact.

Another important factor impacting a given market? The number of retirees who want to move there.

Generally speaking, many retirees have disposable income and time on their hands. Both of which, of course, they can spend at restaurants, bars, and hotels.

For their report, Clever considered healthcare, cost of living, and quality of life. On the topic of healthcare, Clever points out that retirees need to consider affordable care costs and quality of care.

Overall, Clever examined 18 metrics to come up with their lists, including how states tax Social Security and a 401(k).

American Cities 50 to 11

Unsurprisingly, there’s crossover between the top inflow and outflow cities and the top retirement cities.

Minneapolis, Minnesota
Riverside, California
Sacramento, California
Detroit, Michigan
Seattle, Washington
San Diego, California
Phoenix, Arizona
Buffalo, New York
Boston, Massachusetts
Salt Lake City, Utah
Columbus, Ohio
New York, New York
Los Angeles, Calfornia
Dallas, Texas
Charlotte, North Carolina
Las Vegas, Nevada
Raleigh, North Carolina
San Jose, California
Washington, DC
Atlanta, Georgia
Portland, Oregon
Houston, Texas
San Antonio, Texas
Austin, Texas
San Francisco, California
Baltimore, Maryland
Orlando, Florida
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cleveland, Ohio
Chicago, Illinois
Virginia Beach, Virginia
Jacksonville, Florida
Hartford, Connecticut
Memphis, Tennessee
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Providence, Rhode Island
Kansas City, Missouri
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Indianapolis, Indiana

American Cities 10 to 1

Below, the top ten retirement cities according to Clever.

Nashville, Tennessee
Miami, Florida
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
Tampa, Florida
Richmond, Virginia
Denver, Colorado
St. Louis, Missouri
Louisville, Kentucky
Birmingham, Alabama
New Orleans, LA

Per Clever, New Orleans clinches the top spot for the following reasons:

Affordability.
The state of Louisiana doesn’t tax Social Security benefits.
Income-level limits on 401(k), IRA, and pension distribution tax rates.

Image: Susan Q Yin on Unsplash

Friends toasting with Champagne outside during the winter

November 29, 2021by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

Things Looking Up For December

Things Looking Up For December

by David Klemt

Food and beverage research and analytics firm Datassential’s end-of-year insights point to a positive outlook for restaurants in December.

While many consumers still have reservations about spending time in public, others are eager to return to “normal.”

Restaurants and bars are expected to play an important role in reaching normalcy this holiday season.

Let’s take a look at Datassential’s 2021 Holiday Issue statistics.

Hesitancy Waning?

Let’s get the less-promising data out of the way first. Some consumers still find the idea of in-person restaurant visits uncomfortable.

Nearly half of Boomers surveyed by Datassential (46 percent) said they’re “significantly less likely” to visit a fast-casual or fast-food restaurant in December.

And, interestingly, 42 percent of men gave the same answer for visiting traditional sit-down restaurants.

However, of all the in-person options presented to participants by Datassential, restaurants performed the best.

More than half of all respondents—men, women, Gen Z, Millennials, Gen X, Boomers—plan to visit fast-casual, fast-food, and sit-down restaurants more in December than they have in recent months.

It’s most likely that anticipation for restaurant visits is driven by the desire to gather and celebrate the holidays.

Overall, 57 percent of respondents plan to visit fast-casual and fast-food restaurants more. And 47 percent expect to visit sit-down restaurants more.

That makes those two options the top answers.

Only 16 percent of respondents indicated they don’t plan on visiting any on-site foodservice venues.

Regarding bars, sports bars, lounges, and nightclubs, men are “significantly more likely” (23 percent) to visit those types of venues in December.

Holiday Opportunity

According to Datassential’s report, the opportunity for holiday bookings is out there.

More than likely, gatherings will simply be smaller than they were prior to the pandemic.

Asked about plans to gather at restaurants in December, get-togethers are expected to be “moderately sized.”

Almost half of survey respondents (44 percent) plan on gathering at restaurants in parties of seven to twelve.

Just over a quarter (29 percent) plan on get-togethers of six or fewer of people. Only 18 percent of respondents are planning large (13 to 18 people) gatherings at restaurants in December.

As far as parties of 19 or more, just nine percent of respondents plan “very large” gatherings.

Of course, individual operations’ results will vary. However, this information gives us an idea of what traffic may look like for many operators.

2021 Spending

This is where the news looks even better for restaurants, bars and nightclubs in December.

When asked about spending money on going out to eat and for drinks, just 18 percent of respondents said they planned to spend less this year than in 2020.

Very nearly half (49 percent) plan to spend the same as they did last year. However, 32 percent said they think they’ll increase their spending.

When it comes to New Year’s Eve, the numbers shift a bit. However, 50 percent of respondents plan to spend the same on NYE in 2021 as they did in 2020.

Twenty-six percent plan to spend more on NYE in 2021. Just 24 percent plan to spend less this year on NYE.

Per Datassential, Millennials are most likely to splash out for NYE this year.

So, things won’t be returning to pre-pandemic normalcy by 2021’s end. However, if Datassentials findings prove accurate, things are looking healthier for December.

Image: Christine Jou on Unsplash

November 26, 2021by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

How is Plant-based Performing?

How is Plant-based Performing On-premise?

by David Klemt

With plant-based food options making their way to global fast food chains, it’s clear the category is continuing to heat up.

In fact, it’s likely time to stop referring to plant-based menu items as a trend. Obviously, they’re here to stay.

But how are these items actually performing on-premise? Is the category experiencing real growth or barely noticeable?

“Proliferation”

We’re full throttle into the holiday season. People are focusing on spending time with family and friends.

And what does that mean? Gathering for meals.

So, if restaurant traffic is going to tick up, it makes sense to see if plant-based should be more prevalent on menus.

To that end, Datassential revealed data on this category two weeks ago during their “Holidays Ahead!” webinar. Of four trend-tracking designations—Inception, Adoption, Proliferation, Ubiquity—Datassential notes plant-based menu items are in the Proliferation stage on-premise.

Analyzing data from 2011 to 2021, Datassential showed that the category started growing in terms of menu placement in 2018. As of this year, plant-based items are on nearly five percent of restaurant menus.

That may not seem like impressive growth. However, there was zero-point-zero-percent growth between 2011 and 2014. In 2015 and 2016, Datassential shows that only 0.1 percent of restaurants offered plant-based menu items. That growth doubled in 2017 (0.2 percent), then doubled again in 2018 (0.4 percent).

In 2019, the category quadrupled to inclusion on 1.6 percent of restaurant menus. Last year, that growth more than doubled to 3.5 percent.

According to Datassential, 28 percent of consumers like or love plant-based menu items. Interestingly, the research agency finds that all types of consumers like plant-based items, not just vegetarians or vegans.

The Datassential breakdown of plant-based menu proliferation by restaurant category is as follows:

Fast Casual: 11.5%
Casual Dining: 5.4%
Midscale: 3.9%
Quick Service: 3.4%
Fine Dining: 1.8%

Chains are more likely, at this time, to feature plant-based menu items.

Upscale Options

Wanting to include plant-based options and knowing where to start are two different things.

As it happens, Datassential featured a timely real-world menu to that should inspire operators this season.

Watercourse Foods in Denver, Colorado, offers mains and sides that will resonate with holiday diners:

Seitan Roast (wheat, soy, blend of herbs) which stands in for roast turkey.
Pot Pie consisting of carrots, celery, onions and mushroom.
Root Vegetable Stuffing made with root veggies (obviously), savory herbs, and housemade bread.
Mac and Cheese featuring shells tossed in cheese fondue and topped with shiitake “bacon” bits and breadcrumbs.

As you’ll notice, you don’t need to limit your menu to products from Beyond or Impossible. Obviously, you can leverage their brand recognition but you can also utilize your current plant-based inventory to create housemade menu items.

If you’re ready to embrace plants at your restaurant or bar, activate your kitchen team. With a bit of creativity you can take advantage on the rise in popularity of everything plant-based.

Image: Hermes Rivera on Unsplash