Notice: Function _load_textdomain_just_in_time was called incorrectly. Translation loading for the smart-post-show-pro domain was triggered too early. This is usually an indicator for some code in the plugin or theme running too early. Translations should be loaded at the init action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /var/www/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6114
Restaurant closures | KRG Hospitality

Restaurant closures

by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

75% of American Restaurant Operators Expect Decreased Sales Through Start of 2021

75% of American Restaurant Operators Expect Decreased Sales Through January

by David Klemt

The fifth National Restaurant Association COVID-19 Restaurant Impact Survey results have been released.

Unsurprisingly and unfortunately, the news is not good.

For their fifth installment, the NRA surveyed 6,000 restaurant operators and 250 supply chain businesses between November 17 and 30. Full-service and limited-service restaurant operators, independent and chain, reported their sales had slipped in October.

Only 12 percent of restaurant operators reported seeing sales growth. In comparison, 79 percent said sales were down.

Per the NRA survey, one reason for the decline in sales is outdoor dining season coming to a close. In New York City, per Governor Andrew Cuomo’s order banning indoor dining, outdoor dining is the only option beyond delivery and takeout. However, the weather is less than attractive for outdoor diners.

Costs are disproportionate to sales for most operators. Nearly 60 percent of survey participants reported increased labor costs when compared to the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in the United States.

Profit margins, historically thin even at the best of times, were reported by 86 percent of operators who partook in the survey to also be lower than the they were prior to the pandemic.

The NRA’s predicted outcome for the industry is that without targeted and significant federal relief specifically for restaurants and bars, more temporary and permanent closures are coming, as are further losses of jobs.

According to an estimate from the NRA, more than 110,000 restaurants and bars had closed by December 1. On average, these establishments employed 32 people, and 17 percent of the closed businesses employed a minimum of 50 people.

Close to 40 percent of survey participants indicated they were considering closing their restaurants or bars temporarily and waiting out the pandemic. That means layoffs that could affect dozens of employees per establishment. Almost 60 percent of survey participants expect a reduction in their workforces over the coming three months.

Sales are expected to lag through the start of next year. The majority of operators surveyed, 75 percent, expect sales to fall even further from their already lower levels through the start of next year.

If that logical assumption becomes reality, slowed sales may trigger a domino effect: reduced traffic, plummeting sales, and increased operational costs leading to layoffs, temporary closures, and ultimately permanent closures.

Restaurants and bars require targeted relief for the industry to survive. If that help doesn’t come soon, if the RESTAURANTS Act or similar legislation isn’t signed into law, the country will lose millions of jobs permanently. The economy will be dealt a lethal blow, losing out on tens of billions of dollars.

Now is not the time to back off the pressure being put on Congress and Senate to pass the RESTAURANTS Act. Click here to tell them time is up—they must return to Washington in January to save our restaurants and bars.

Image: Enrico Hänel from Pexels

by David Klemt David Klemt No Comments

Significant, Permanent Restaurant Closures Expected to Rock Canada Unless Situation Improves

Significant, Permanent Restaurant Closures Expected to Rock Canada Unless Situation Improves

by David Klemt

Industry surveys continue to reveal how dire the situation is for operators.

On December 8, Restaurants Canada, a non-profit that represents and advocates for the Great White North’s restaurant industry, shared the results of a survey they had conducted between November 26 and December 4. A total of 511 surveys representing 3,000 restaurants were completed.

According to Restaurants Canada, the nation’s foodservice industry consists of 97,500 establishments ranging from QSRs to bars and full-service venues.

More than eight out of ten survey respondents answered that they are either barely staying afloat or are operating at a loss. Drilling deeper, significantly more restaurants are operating at a loss—65 percent of survey respondents fall into this category. Just 19 percent of restaurants represented by survey respondents are able to break even.

That’s 2,400 restaurants of 3,000 struggling to survive, and 78,000 restaurants out of 97,500, assuming the survey sample size accurately represents the overall industry in Canada.

To understand the long-term effects of government-mandated restrictions and shutdowns, one has only to digest another startling statistic: Restaurants operating in the red aren’t expecting to return to profitability for a minimum of 12 months.

Under optimal conditions, the average Canadian restaurant operates on razor-thin margins. Per Restaurants Canada, restaurants keep just five percent of every $10 in sales on average, or 50 cents. The industry is Canada’s fourth-largest employer (it’s number five in the United States, for comparison), accounting for 1.2 million jobs, 58 percent of which are held by women. Over thirty percent of owners, operators and staff belong to a visible minority, further illustrating how important restaurants are to diversity and the economy; half of all restaurants in Canada are operated by immigrants. Just like in the America, restaurants are the first employer for most Canadians.

The industry is crucial to Canada, but this vital resource is under serious threat. One of those threats comes from lawmakers whose restrictions are making it much more difficult for operators to wring any profits out already miniscule margins. Much like the situation afflicting the industry in the United States, the situation is going to get worse in short order without government relief.

Restrictions are simply nails in coffins unless they’re accompanied by relief.

“Our members are seeking a new year’s resolution from government, not only to support their survival but our industry’s vital role building back a stronger, more resilient Canada,” said  Todd Barclay, president and CEO of Restaurants Canada. “Restaurants Canada is calling for a national working group to pave the way for the foodservice sector’s revival, building on the commitment in the federal government’s 2020 Fall Economic Statement to provide targeted, sector-specific support to restaurants and other hardest hit businesses.”

That national working group, according to Restaurants Canada, should focus on providing businesses being affected by government-mandated restrictions with “sufficient, efficient and effective aid”; developing campaigns that make it clear to Canadians that restaurants are capable of safely and reliably providing safe meals; promoting delivery and takeout as a viable way for the public to support restaurants; connecting with operators to understand the industry’s needs and pain points to ensure they’re in as strong a position as possible when entering the post-pandemic economy.

The next six months are crucial to the survival of Canadian restaurants. If things don’t improve, should the government not address the industry’s situation and provide relief, 48 percent of single-unit operators surveyed by Restaurants Canada indicated they expect to close within six months. That number jumps to 56 percent for multi-unit operators, who expect to close at least one of their locations (also within six months).

Restaurants Canada is asking for anyone who supports the formation of a dedicated national working group to contact their Member of Parliament via this link.

Photo by Marcus Urbenz on Unsplash

Top