E-commerce | KRG Hospitality

Uncorked: 2021 Wine Trends to Watch

by David Klemt

What’s up with wine in 2021? We reviewed multiple sources to find out.

One great thing about hunting for wine trends is that it’s easy—there’s no shortage of sources willing to make predictions.

Common Wine Trends

The IWSR, without a doubt a reputable source for information about all things beverage, expects wine consumption to “bounce back” this year.

Along with Forbes, Wine Intelligence, just-drinks, and bar inventory platform Backbar, the IWSR expects e-commerce to be crucial for wine sales. Continuing with tech influence, the IWSR and Wine Intelligence expect wine producers and sellers to engage more with consumers online. Forbes pointed to orange wine benefiting from Instagram posts as a specific example of digital engagement.

Forbes, the IWSR, and Wine Intelligence predict alternative packaging to really take off in 2021. Canned wines are well positioned but other options—wine-in-box and “letterbox” bottles, for example—will perform well this year.

Forbes, the IWSR, and WineMemoir expect sustainability to be even more important in 2021. The IWSR mentioned organic and low-intervention wine, and they pointed to biodynamic wine, as did WineMemoir. Zero-waste winemaking was mentioned by Forbes.

The IWSR and Forbes expect sparkling wine—Prosecco specifically—to have a moment this year. Drinking occasions, per the IWSR, have come to include Prosecco more often; sparkling is no longer just for celebrating.

Breakout Wine Trends

Speaking of moments, rosé Champagne will have on in 2021, according to Forbes. The publication also expects the wealthy to continue “drinking richly,” so operators with rare, exclusive and high-dollar bottles should consider promoting them.

With the explosive growth of hard seltzer that has taken place over the past few years, Wine Intelligence predicts 2021 to be the year the wine seltzer market is established.

People will choose “safe” wine options, meaning they’ll be less likely to experiment and move out of their comfort zones, according to just-drinks. The magazine is also more cautious about the category’s growth this year, pointing to slowed economies and rises in alcohol duty rates.

Backbar, explaining that wine dollar value slipped but sales volume rose in 2020, predicts restaurants will offer more affordable wines. Along with that trend, they predict restaurants will hold less inventory to reduce costs, meaning wine lists will shrink.

Specific varietals Backbar predicts will perform well due to a turn toward affordable wines: South American Cabernet Sauvignon, Chardonnay and Malbec; South African Chenin Blanc; Portuguese reds; red blends; and American wines in general.

2021 will be the Year of Cabernet Franc, according to WineMemoir. Bordeaux will see a resurgence in popularity, and wines from Abruzzo and Jura will see a lift.

Image: Carson Masterson on Unsplash

E-Commerce Alters Drinking Occasion

by David Klemt

According to estimates, beverage alcohol e-commerce grew by 40 percent in 2020.

Per data from the IWSR, ten “core countries” are driving that growth: Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, United Kingdom, and the United States. China, the reigning campion of beverage alcohol e-commerce, is expected to be toppled by the US by the end of this year.

Of particular note: growth in the above markets more than doubled from 2019, when online alcohol retail grew by 11 percent.

What this Means for Brick-and-Mortar Operations

We all know what drove the growth in online alcohol sales.

In their quest to find comfort in the midst of the global 2020 pandemic, they became comfortable with purchasing alcohol online as a long-term behavior. Alcohol brands were forced to pivot to online sales channels due to restaurants, bars, lounges, nightclubs and other brick-and-mortar F&B operations facing constantly shifting restrictions and closures. (See also: Los Angeles County restaurant restrictions.)

To compete, operators must continue to do what they’ve had to even before a pandemic absolutely ravaged the hospitality industry and millions of people’s livelihoods: adapt.

For at least several more months, drinking at home will be its own occasion, for obvious reasons. The IWSR expects brands to invest more into online alcohol retail. If that proves to be the case, operators can expect–as a worst-case scenario–fewer dollars spent on their brick-and-mortar operations.

Getting creative with alcohol delivery, takeout and pickup is crucial to give operators the best chance to be included in the at-home drinking occasion.

The Trends to Watch

In terms of delivery trends, you can click here for food trends so you can consider complimentary beverages. Click here for 2021 drink trends, which certainly include alcohol-free beer.

Athletic Brewing Co. alcohol-free craft beers. Image: Athletic Brewing Co.

Speaking of delivery, the growth in alcohol e-commerce makes owning the guest journey by offering direct delivery even more important.

The IWSR has identified their own set of trends tied to the growth of alcohol e-commerce:

As touched on above, at-home drinking becoming its own occasion outright.
Premiumization will change. Some consumers will experiment less and focus on their favorite brands, and others will turn to brick-and-mortar channels for premium experiences.
Politics will play a noticeable role on beverage alcohol, not just in the US but across the globe. Tariffs could change and strict e-commerce regulations could loosen.
RTDs will remain strong or get stronger. Per the IWSR, “innovation in alcohol bases, exploration of new and increasingly local flavors, and premium product offerings” will ensure RTDs remain a crucial beverage category in 2021.
Low- and zero-alcohol drink options will continue their evolution. Once stigmatized, these drinks exploded in popularity in 2020. For 2021, the IWSR expects them to become aspirational.

Last year changed the industry. Comfort, convenience, and a heightened awareness of health and wellness are altering how people consume and engage with brands, restaurants and bars. Operators, already facing challenges from all sides, must take the time to develop strategies to compete for e-commerce dollars.

Image: mentatdgt from Pexels