Foodservice trends | KRG Hospitality

Is Demand for Delivery Down?

by David Klemt

AI-generated image of a person carrying takeout bags from restaurant to their motorcycle

I have done this. Cargo straps required.

Not too long ago, it seemed as delivery was going to overtake people’s desire to enjoy a restaurant in person, but that trend may be on a downward swing.

At first, this trend made perfect sense, for obvious reasons. For a while, the best way for consumers to enjoy their favorite restaurants and show support was to order delivery.

Rideshare companies jumped on delivery, as did several platforms. When guests were able to visit restaurants in person freely, delivery had become a habit for many of them. In fact, ordering delivery had become the de facto method of engaging with restaurants for a not-insignificant percentage of people.

However, operators and their teams weren’t shy about exposing their delivery “partners.” I think it’s fair to describe the fees operators were being charged by some of these partners as outrageous.

When the public found out about these fees, they didn’t sit well. Takeout, carryout, takeaway, order for pickup… Whatever your preferred nomenclature, people began seeing it as superior to delivery. This shift in consumer behavior was driven by a desire to support their favorite restaurants.

Of course, there are other factors that affected people’s move away from delivery. I’m confident in saying that most of us who have ordered delivery at some point in the last couple of years has experienced at least one of several downsides.

However, has delivery really fallen out of favor? Have takeout or drive-up pickup actually been passing up delivery?

Datassential’s 2024 Midyear Trends Report has some insights that can answer those questions. You can (and should) check it out for yourself here.

The State of Takeout and Delivery

To obtain a snapshot of the state of the performance of delivery and takeout, Datassential conducted a survey in May of this year. The F&B intelligence platform surveyed 400 US operators and more than 1,500 US consumers.

According to Datassential, nearly half of restaurant operators reported increases in guests dining in person at their restaurants.

Perhaps more telling, however, is that Datassential’s survey reveals that half of restaurants aren’t even offering delivery. I don’t know the breakdown of operators who once offered delivery and stopped doing so versus operators who never offered delivery.

What I do know is that there are, as I alluded to up top, many reasons for people to eschew delivery. Chief among these are cost, and the condition of the order when it arrives to the guest.

On the operator side, cost is once again a consideration, as are negative reviews and complaints. More than one study has shown that operators often get the blame when a third party botches an element of the delivery. These complaints can include food being delivered lukewarm or cold, parts of the delivery missing, or the wrong items being delivered to someone.

But, again, is demand for delivery slipping?

Per Datassential’s report, takeout and catering are outpacing the growth of delivery for US operators. Almost 40 percent of operators who participated in Datassential’s survey reported an increase in frequency for takeout and catering orders. In comparison, just 20 percent of respondents ordered an increase in delivery order.

Just eight percent of operators indicated a decrease in takeout and delivery. In fact, the greatest decrease impacts catering (14 percent), according to Datassential’s report.

Takeaway

Delivery, simply put, doesn’t work for every operator or every concept. Moreover, it looks like consumer desire for takeout is on a greater upswing in contrast to delivery.

For concepts that succeed with delivery, it’s imperative that operators control the process rather than cede to third parties, in my opinion.

The best way forward will vary from business to business. Operators and their teams need to be ruthless the quality, consistency, accuracy, and value of all orders, whether placed in person, for takeout, or for delivery. Further, when it comes to takeout and delivery, the ordering process must be convenient.

What’s clear is that every operator needs to dive into their data, determine how guests prefer to order from their restaurant, and pursue those preferences to enhance the guest experience.

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American Trends 2023: Technomic

by David Klemt

Foodservice research firm Technomic has some interesting predictions for the hospitality industry in the United States of America this year.

On the topic of operations, Technomic foresees more negotiating power among workers. Additionally, the firm looks at both the economy and pent-up guest demand.

When it comes to food, the US and Canada have a trend prediction in common. And as the image atop this article signifies, a particular color may be a hit on menus in 2023.

Before we jump in, Technomic’s 2023 Canadian trend predictions are here. Last year’s Technomic predictions for America are here. Curious readers can review the firm’s 2023 predictions in their entirety here.

Okay, let’s go!

Think Pink

I want to address this prediction first. According to Technomic, pink is going to be the F&B color of 2023.

As they explain, the color is fun, nostalgic, and photogenic. Yes, operators must still consider the Instagram-worthiness of their menu items. That may change one day, but it’s not today.

Per Technomic, pink also signals that a food or drink may have antioxidants.

Some of the items the research firm names specifically: pink pineapple, pink salt, pink celery, cara cara oranges, and schisandra berries.

Pickle It

This is the culinary trend that, per Technomic, Canada and America will share in 2023.

Along with fermenting, pickling gives the kitchen and bar teams a unique experimentation method to explore. So, encourage these teams to get creative and add pickling and fermentation to your next menu update.

Of course, that’s not the only reason to consider putting pickling front and center. For many, these preparations indicate a healthy F&B choice. Think kombucha, as an example.

As we know, healthy choices continue to be top of mind for many guests.

One more note: Technomic suggests being transparent and identifying the pickling and fermenting processes your team leverages to produce each menu item.

Economics

For those looking for a bit of optimism in these trying times, Technomic may have what you’re looking for. This year’s report, What We Foresee for 2023, says the following about the possibility of a recession:

“There is reason for optimism in the coming year, however, as any recession is expected to be relatively mild.”

Yes, that’s just one source’s opinion. However, Technomic is known for their voraciousness when it comes to data. So, if this firm is optimistic it could be a solid sign that things are looking up in 2023.

“Pent-up consumer demand” and variations thereof have been making the rounds since 2o21. However, it’s still a relevant phrase.

As it pertains to 2023, Technomic believes on-premise dining may “bounce back” this year. In fact, the firm suggests that people want to socialize and dine in person now more than ever.

Also, delivery and pickup times appear to be growing. So, plenty of people will see in-person dining as the more appealing option in 2023.

Operations

In part due to legislation addressing minimum wage and workplace conditions, employees may have the upper hand this year.

Add the fact that many people seeking work know many operators are dealing with a labor shortage and their negotiating position looks even stronger.

So, we could finally be in for a significant change when it comes to how the industry looks at compensation. More and more workers—and the guests they serve—are taking issue with tipping. Instead, many people outside and inside of the industry want to see operators pay staff a competitive, living wage.

Of course, there are also the hospitality professionals who prefer tips to minimum wage. In 2023, the industry could experience the start of a sea change. Time will tell.

For more predictions and this Technomic report in its entirety, please click here.

Image: Alex Gruber on Unsplash