Is Demand for Delivery Down?

by David Klemt

Not too long ago, it seemed as delivery was going to overtake people’s desire to enjoy a restaurant in person, but that trend may be on a downward swing.

At first, this trend made perfect sense, for obvious reasons. For a while, the best way for consumers to enjoy their favorite restaurants and show support was to order delivery.

Rideshare companies jumped on delivery, as did several platforms. When guests were able to visit restaurants in person freely, delivery had become a habit for many of them. In fact, ordering delivery had become the de facto method of engaging with restaurants for a not-insignificant percentage of people.

However, operators and their teams weren’t shy about exposing their delivery “partners.” I think it’s fair to describe the fees operators were being charged by some of these partners as outrageous.

When the public found out about these fees, they didn’t sit well. Takeout, carryout, takeaway, order for pickup… Whatever your preferred nomenclature, people began seeing it as superior to delivery. This shift in consumer behavior was driven by a desire to support their favorite restaurants.

Of course, there are other factors that affected people’s move away from delivery. I’m confident in saying that most of us who have ordered delivery at some point in the last couple of years has experienced at least one of several downsides.

However, has delivery really fallen out of favor? Have takeout or drive-up pickup actually been passing up delivery?

Datassential’s 2024 Midyear Trends Report has some insights that can answer those questions. You can (and should) check it out for yourself here.

The State of Takeout and Delivery

To obtain a snapshot of the state of the performance of delivery and takeout, Datassential conducted a survey in May of this year. The F&B intelligence platform surveyed 400 US operators and more than 1,500 US consumers.

According to Datassential, nearly half of restaurant operators reported increases in guests dining in person at their restaurants.

Perhaps more telling, however, is that Datassential’s survey reveals that half of restaurants aren’t even offering delivery. I don’t know the breakdown of operators who once offered delivery and stopped doing so versus operators who never offered delivery.

What I do know is that there are, as I alluded to up top, many reasons for people to eschew delivery. Chief among these are cost, and the condition of the order when it arrives to the guest.

On the operator side, cost is once again a consideration, as are negative reviews and complaints. More than one study has shown that operators often get the blame when a third party botches an element of the delivery. These complaints can include food being delivered lukewarm or cold, parts of the delivery missing, or the wrong items being delivered to someone.

But, again, is demand for delivery slipping?

Per Datassential’s report, takeout and catering are outpacing the growth of delivery for US operators. Almost 40 percent of operators who participated in Datassential’s survey reported an increase in frequency for takeout and catering orders. In comparison, just 20 percent of respondents ordered an increase in delivery order.

Just eight percent of operators indicated a decrease in takeout and delivery. In fact, the greatest decrease impacts catering (14 percent), according to Datassential’s report.

Takeaway

Delivery, simply put, doesn’t work for every operator or every concept. Moreover, it looks like consumer desire for takeout is on a greater upswing in contrast to delivery.

For concepts that succeed with delivery, it’s imperative that operators control the process rather than cede to third parties, in my opinion.

The best way forward will vary from business to business. Operators and their teams need to be ruthless the quality, consistency, accuracy, and value of all orders, whether placed in person, for takeout, or for delivery. Further, when it comes to takeout and delivery, the ordering process must be convenient.

What’s clear is that every operator needs to dive into their data, determine how guests prefer to order from their restaurant, and pursue those preferences to enhance the guest experience.

Image: Microsoft Designer

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