Are “Substituters” Leading NA Growth?

by David Klemt

Revelations shared by the IWSR recently suggest that the very generation driving non-alcohol growth may also be driving traditional beverage alcohol growth.

At least, according to the IWSR, a particular generation is over-indexing in the non-alc category and “full-strength” categories such as rum, whisky, Champagne, brandy and Cognac, and RTDs.

This is because Millennials—there it is, the big reveal—appear to be “substituters.” That is, as explained by the IWSR, much of this cohort consumes alcohol on some occasions, and non-alc beverages on others.

Now, before we proceed, let me get this out of the way: No generation is a monolith. While there’s value in understanding a given generation’s behavior, it’s important to understand that we can really only do so in broad terms.

That said, broadly speaking, members of the Millennial generation appear to be driving the growth of non-alc overall. In comparison to other generations, Millennials are consuming more non-alc spirits, more non-alc beer, and more non-alc wine.

Of course, there’s another caveat I must address: Less than half of Gen Z is of legal drinking age. So, when compared to that generation, the numbers are a bit skewed.

Generally speaking, non-alc is growing across the board in the US. What was once relegated to two or three low-alc beers and barely considered “mocktails” for many, many years is now a viable category. The category has gone from an afterthought to inspiring entire alcohol-free bar concepts, and it hasn’t taken long to achieve this growth.

Numbers

When I say Millennials are consuming more non-alc than other generations, what does that mean? Is the difference subtle, or is it eyebrow raising?

Per IWSR data, it’s the latter.

Last year, 45 percent of all non-alc beer drinkers in the US were Millennials. That number has jumped to 61 percent in 2024. Change focus to non-alc spirits and Millennials make up 66 percent of overall US consumers. That number is 59 percent when we look at who’s drinking non-alc wine.

For some context, just 22 percent of non-alc beer drinkers in the US are Gen X. Take a look at legal-drinking-age Gen Z and that number shrinks to seven percent. Again, though, most of Gen Z isn’t yet LDA.

So, back to substituters. Just under half of all Millennials, according to IWSR findings, vacillate between non-alc and full-ABV. It would appear, then, that Millennials are the most interested in exploring and experimenting with non-alc beverages.

For obvious reasons, this makes it clear that operators need to do more than just toss a couple of alcohol-free beers and sugary zero-proof cocktail concoctions on their menus.

Further, and I know I’m repeating myself, operators need to ensure they deliver the same level of service and guest experience for those abstaining from alcohol as those ordering traditional adult beverages. Failing to do so can alienate guests who choose to not consume alcohol but want to visit and socialize at a bar or restaurant. Why would they return if they receive what they perceive to be a lower level of service?

IWSR’s deep dive and data make it clear that operators need to give the non-alc element of their menu due consideration. The category is growing, interesting is increasing, and it’s smart business.

To review this data yourself, follow this link.

Image: Rachel Claire via Pexels

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